I think the misogyny and toxicity is manifestation of the women’s rights movement and its liberating impact . I’m 60 and it’s taken some time … but it has gathered momentum. Same as with minorities gaining greater rights and power within the system - many people think there’s no loss , we’re all better off . Which is true to a certain extent - but white men have lost , they now have to legitimately compete, particularly in the job /career market when they didn’t before . It used to be far easier. It is why the target is DEI and affirmative action. They directly benefited from exclusion. Now, the hardworking , intelligent white male will still get ahead (see colllege educ white men polling) - moreover - college Ed white men are USED to being in a competitive envt - in HS, in college too - ( see stats on female enrollment in higher Ed). Their work environments are more diverse . The other area that got tougher for all men - the household . Bc where I was expected to work AND do most childcare and housework , younger women won’t - and more avenues to support themselves. So - the white males who work in less diverse envt, who work mostly around other men - the men who are mediocre and unused to competition . They’re “stuck” in mindset that romanticizes the Olde Days when it was better, easier for them . But harder for literally everyone else - and boy are they pissed. They do have to give up power, AND they are being forced to change by societal forces way more powerful than their rage . Another area -> IVF which allows single women to have children outside of marriage , and jobs which allow them to support families outside of marriage . So the involuntary celibate male knows how he’s being bypassed bc of his failure to change , compete in the modern world. Why in the world would we ever go back ? No matter how enraged or toxic they get, never.
I would add that contraception means women can plan pregnancies, or, more specifically, plan not to get pregnant. Women who are locked in a cycle of childbirth and childcare are dependent on men.
Iowa is definitely in-play for Harris. Initial party registrations are evenly split, yet women voters outpace men by +10. If Iowa women voters liken Kamala’s message closer to Obama’s instead of Hillary’s, she’s going to win.
Very good analysis, and I think you're on target about FL. As you noted, Biden lost by 3 pts in 2020 and I think the defection of Republican voters from Trump to Biden alone could close that gap, and then the outsize turnout of women and Latinos may give her a comfortable win there.
I agree with you! I pegged FL as an early indicator of the new direction last week and am glad to have someone back this up with facts. I had not pegged GA, so thx for that!
Is the Florida Democratic Party still a mess? I remember many fingers pointed at them for why the party was so uncompetitive in what should very much be a swing state.
The state party's still not in great shape, but I think it's primarily demographics that explains Florida's move away from being a swing state. From the 2016 election to 2020, Florida got over 2 points redder, even though nearly every other state got bluer. Almost all of that shift came from a single county, Miami-Dade, which is highly diverse, and has a large Cuban-American population.
What happened to America? Rush Limbaugh and Co. on conservative talk radio in the 1980s popularized and made hate acceptable to a 'Christian' nation. Followed in short order by Murdoch with his Fox News. Which turned out to be only that part of the news which it felt reflected well on conservatives even as it complained constantly about "The Left!" And here we are, IMHO.
I think the misogyny and toxicity is manifestation of the women’s rights movement and its liberating impact . I’m 60 and it’s taken some time … but it has gathered momentum. Same as with minorities gaining greater rights and power within the system - many people think there’s no loss , we’re all better off . Which is true to a certain extent - but white men have lost , they now have to legitimately compete, particularly in the job /career market when they didn’t before . It used to be far easier. It is why the target is DEI and affirmative action. They directly benefited from exclusion. Now, the hardworking , intelligent white male will still get ahead (see colllege educ white men polling) - moreover - college Ed white men are USED to being in a competitive envt - in HS, in college too - ( see stats on female enrollment in higher Ed). Their work environments are more diverse . The other area that got tougher for all men - the household . Bc where I was expected to work AND do most childcare and housework , younger women won’t - and more avenues to support themselves. So - the white males who work in less diverse envt, who work mostly around other men - the men who are mediocre and unused to competition . They’re “stuck” in mindset that romanticizes the Olde Days when it was better, easier for them . But harder for literally everyone else - and boy are they pissed. They do have to give up power, AND they are being forced to change by societal forces way more powerful than their rage . Another area -> IVF which allows single women to have children outside of marriage , and jobs which allow them to support families outside of marriage . So the involuntary celibate male knows how he’s being bypassed bc of his failure to change , compete in the modern world. Why in the world would we ever go back ? No matter how enraged or toxic they get, never.
I would add that contraception means women can plan pregnancies, or, more specifically, plan not to get pregnant. Women who are locked in a cycle of childbirth and childcare are dependent on men.
Iowa is definitely in-play for Harris. Initial party registrations are evenly split, yet women voters outpace men by +10. If Iowa women voters liken Kamala’s message closer to Obama’s instead of Hillary’s, she’s going to win.
Very good analysis, and I think you're on target about FL. As you noted, Biden lost by 3 pts in 2020 and I think the defection of Republican voters from Trump to Biden alone could close that gap, and then the outsize turnout of women and Latinos may give her a comfortable win there.
I agree with you! I pegged FL as an early indicator of the new direction last week and am glad to have someone back this up with facts. I had not pegged GA, so thx for that!
Is the Florida Democratic Party still a mess? I remember many fingers pointed at them for why the party was so uncompetitive in what should very much be a swing state.
The state party's still not in great shape, but I think it's primarily demographics that explains Florida's move away from being a swing state. From the 2016 election to 2020, Florida got over 2 points redder, even though nearly every other state got bluer. Almost all of that shift came from a single county, Miami-Dade, which is highly diverse, and has a large Cuban-American population.
What happened to America? Rush Limbaugh and Co. on conservative talk radio in the 1980s popularized and made hate acceptable to a 'Christian' nation. Followed in short order by Murdoch with his Fox News. Which turned out to be only that part of the news which it felt reflected well on conservatives even as it complained constantly about "The Left!" And here we are, IMHO.
Spot on.